{
  "report_slug": "ellensburg-2025",
  "title": "2025 Ellensburg Schools Report",
  "year": 2025,
  "published_at": "2026-07-26",
  "metro": {
    "cbsa_code": "21260",
    "cbsa_name": "Ellensburg, WA",
    "url_slug": "21260-ellensburg",
    "states": [
      "WA"
    ],
    "omb_states": [
      "WA"
    ],
    "covered_states": [
      "WA"
    ],
    "missing_states": [],
    "coverage_status": "complete",
    "rank_scope": "full_metro",
    "coverage_label": "Full metro coverage",
    "comparability_note": null,
    "crosses_state_lines": false
  },
  "summary": {
    "n_schools_ranked": 10,
    "median_alpha": -0.31262396678372173,
    "alpha_ses_correlation": null,
    "raw_ses_correlation": null,
    "tier_distribution": {
      "exceptional": 1,
      "outperforming_expectations": 1,
      "above_expected": 2,
      "performing_as_expected": 4,
      "below_expected": 1,
      "lower_performance": 1,
      "high_school_only": 0
    },
    "story_distribution": {
      "strong_both": 1,
      "outperforming": 1,
      "high_scores_context_matters": 1,
      "lower_both": 2,
      "typical": 5,
      "high_school_outcome": 0
    }
  },
  "scatter_points": [
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530135000241",
      "school_name": "Cle Elum Roslyn Elementary",
      "url_slug": "530135-cle-elum-roslyn-elementary",
      "ses_index": 73.77044007704067,
      "achievement_pct_metro": 90.0,
      "decoded_pct_metro": 20.0,
      "alpha_shrunk": -0.5103618449060732,
      "enrollment": 489,
      "achievement_rank_metro": 2,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 9,
      "composite_rank_metro": 5,
      "composite_pct_metro": 60.0,
      "rank_shift": -3,
      "story_type": "high_scores_context_matters"
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530246003887",
      "school_name": "Ida Nason Aronica Elementary",
      "url_slug": "530246-ida-nason-aronica-elementary",
      "ses_index": 41.04968698892576,
      "achievement_pct_metro": 20.0,
      "decoded_pct_metro": 60.0,
      "alpha_shrunk": -0.2997448112534678,
      "enrollment": 361,
      "achievement_rank_metro": 9,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 5,
      "composite_rank_metro": 9,
      "composite_pct_metro": 20.0,
      "rank_shift": 0,
      "story_type": "lower_both"
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530246000366",
      "school_name": "Lincoln Elementary",
      "url_slug": "530246-lincoln-elementary",
      "ses_index": 43.15415124196896,
      "achievement_pct_metro": 80.0,
      "decoded_pct_metro": 80.0,
      "alpha_shrunk": 0.046615248174088623,
      "enrollment": 334,
      "achievement_rank_metro": 3,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 3,
      "composite_rank_metro": 4,
      "composite_pct_metro": 70.0,
      "rank_shift": -1,
      "story_type": "strong_both"
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530246000688",
      "school_name": "Valley View Elementary School",
      "url_slug": "530246-valley-view-elementary-school",
      "ses_index": 47.229087736465154,
      "achievement_pct_metro": 100.0,
      "decoded_pct_metro": 100.0,
      "alpha_shrunk": 0.1794339355258602,
      "enrollment": 408,
      "achievement_rank_metro": 1,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 1,
      "composite_rank_metro": 2,
      "composite_pct_metro": 90.0,
      "rank_shift": -1,
      "story_type": "strong_both"
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530405000642",
      "school_name": "Kittitas Elementary School",
      "url_slug": "530405-kittitas-elementary-school",
      "ses_index": 59.906349368612226,
      "achievement_pct_metro": 40.0,
      "decoded_pct_metro": 30.0,
      "alpha_shrunk": -0.3871293523283337,
      "enrollment": 246,
      "achievement_rank_metro": 7,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 8,
      "composite_rank_metro": 10,
      "composite_pct_metro": 10.0,
      "rank_shift": -3,
      "story_type": "lower_both"
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530885001525",
      "school_name": "Thorp Elem & Jr Sr High",
      "url_slug": "530885-thorp-elem-jr-sr-high",
      "ses_index": 71.25861754149456,
      "achievement_pct_metro": 10.0,
      "decoded_pct_metro": 10.0,
      "alpha_shrunk": -0.7910819320360994,
      "enrollment": 247,
      "achievement_rank_metro": 10,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 10,
      "composite_rank_metro": 8,
      "composite_pct_metro": 30.0,
      "rank_shift": 2,
      "story_type": "lower_both"
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530246000368",
      "school_name": "Mt. Stuart Elementary",
      "url_slug": "530246-mt-stuart-elementary",
      "ses_index": 43.489356760305945,
      "achievement_pct_metro": 70.0,
      "decoded_pct_metro": 90.0,
      "alpha_shrunk": 0.05289810048849956,
      "enrollment": 336,
      "achievement_rank_metro": 4,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 2,
      "composite_rank_metro": 1,
      "composite_pct_metro": 100.0,
      "rank_shift": 3,
      "story_type": "strong_both"
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530135000242",
      "school_name": "Walter Strom Middle School",
      "url_slug": "530135-walter-strom-middle-school",
      "ses_index": 74.32082111006353,
      "achievement_pct_metro": 60.0,
      "decoded_pct_metro": 50.0,
      "alpha_shrunk": -0.3255031223139756,
      "enrollment": 206,
      "achievement_rank_metro": 5,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 6,
      "composite_rank_metro": 3,
      "composite_pct_metro": 80.0,
      "rank_shift": 2,
      "story_type": "outperforming"
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530405000643",
      "school_name": "Kittitas High School",
      "url_slug": "530405-kittitas-high-school",
      "ses_index": 59.28187858114397,
      "achievement_pct_metro": 30.0,
      "decoded_pct_metro": 40.0,
      "alpha_shrunk": -0.3291701157149731,
      "enrollment": 318,
      "achievement_rank_metro": 8,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 7,
      "composite_rank_metro": 6,
      "composite_pct_metro": 50.0,
      "rank_shift": 2,
      "story_type": "typical"
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530246000367",
      "school_name": "Morgan Middle School",
      "url_slug": "530246-morgan-middle-school",
      "ses_index": 45.69437139438217,
      "achievement_pct_metro": 50.0,
      "decoded_pct_metro": 70.0,
      "alpha_shrunk": -0.061315089139217786,
      "enrollment": 772,
      "achievement_rank_metro": 6,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 4,
      "composite_rank_metro": 7,
      "composite_pct_metro": 40.0,
      "rank_shift": -1,
      "story_type": "typical"
    }
  ],
  "divergence": {
    "outperforming": [
      {
        "nces_school_id": "530135000242",
        "school_name": "Walter Strom Middle School",
        "url_slug": "530135-walter-strom-middle-school",
        "achievement_rank_metro": 5,
        "decoded_rank_metro": 6,
        "composite_rank_metro": 3,
        "composite_pct_metro": 80.0,
        "rank_shift": 2
      }
    ],
    "high_scores_context_matters": [
      {
        "nces_school_id": "530135000241",
        "school_name": "Cle Elum Roslyn Elementary",
        "url_slug": "530135-cle-elum-roslyn-elementary",
        "achievement_rank_metro": 2,
        "decoded_rank_metro": 9,
        "composite_rank_metro": 5,
        "composite_pct_metro": 60.0,
        "rank_shift": -3
      }
    ],
    "strong_both": [
      {
        "nces_school_id": "530246000688",
        "school_name": "Valley View Elementary School",
        "url_slug": "530246-valley-view-elementary-school",
        "achievement_rank_metro": 1,
        "decoded_rank_metro": 1,
        "composite_rank_metro": 2,
        "composite_pct_metro": 90.0,
        "rank_shift": -1
      }
    ]
  },
  "notable_schools": [
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530246000368",
      "school_name": "Mt. Stuart Elementary",
      "url_slug": "530246-mt-stuart-elementary",
      "callout": "highest_decoded",
      "achievement_rank_metro": 4,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 2,
      "composite_rank_metro": 1,
      "composite_pct_metro": 100.0,
      "rank_shift": 3,
      "confidence_level": "medium",
      "decoder_sentence": "Raw scores are high here, and the school remains strong for its context; students tend to gain ground relative to peers over time."
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530246000368",
      "school_name": "Mt. Stuart Elementary",
      "url_slug": "530246-mt-stuart-elementary",
      "callout": "biggest_positive_shift",
      "achievement_rank_metro": 4,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 2,
      "composite_rank_metro": 1,
      "composite_pct_metro": 100.0,
      "rank_shift": 3,
      "confidence_level": "medium",
      "decoder_sentence": "Raw scores are high here, and the school remains strong for its context; students tend to gain ground relative to peers over time."
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530135000241",
      "school_name": "Cle Elum Roslyn Elementary",
      "url_slug": "530135-cle-elum-roslyn-elementary",
      "callout": "biggest_negative_shift",
      "achievement_rank_metro": 2,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 9,
      "composite_rank_metro": 5,
      "composite_pct_metro": 60.0,
      "rank_shift": -3,
      "confidence_level": "high",
      "decoder_sentence": "Raw scores are high, but the school performs about as its context would predict rather than above it."
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530246000688",
      "school_name": "Valley View Elementary School",
      "url_slug": "530246-valley-view-elementary-school",
      "callout": "highest_achievement",
      "achievement_rank_metro": 1,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 1,
      "composite_rank_metro": 2,
      "composite_pct_metro": 90.0,
      "rank_shift": -1,
      "confidence_level": "high",
      "decoder_sentence": "Raw scores are strong here, and the school holds up well once its context is considered."
    }
  ],
  "disclosures": {
    "data_year": 2025,
    "ccd_year": 2024,
    "acs_vintage": "2020-2024",
    "source_files": [
      {
        "label": "NCES CCD 2024 directory (Urban Institute)",
        "url": "https://educationdata.urban.org/api/v1/schools/ccd/directory/2024/",
        "accessed": "2026-07-26"
      },
      {
        "label": "ACS 5-year 2020-2024",
        "url": "https://api.census.gov/data/2024/acs/acs5",
        "accessed": "2026-07-26"
      },
      {
        "label": "Washington OSPI 2024-25 school-level results",
        "url": "https://washingtonstatereportcard.ospi.k12.wa.us/ReportCard/DownloadFiles",
        "accessed": "2026-07-26"
      }
    ],
    "last_updated": "2026-07-26",
    "methodology_version": "0.9.0"
  }
}