{
  "report_slug": "oak-harbor-2025",
  "title": "2025 Oak Harbor Schools Report",
  "year": 2025,
  "published_at": "2026-08-04",
  "metro": {
    "cbsa_code": "36020",
    "cbsa_name": "Oak Harbor, WA",
    "url_slug": "36020-oak-harbor",
    "states": [
      "WA"
    ],
    "omb_states": [
      "WA"
    ],
    "covered_states": [
      "WA"
    ],
    "missing_states": [],
    "coverage_status": "complete",
    "rank_scope": "full_metro",
    "coverage_label": "Full metro coverage",
    "comparability_note": null,
    "crosses_state_lines": false
  },
  "summary": {
    "n_schools_ranked": 13,
    "median_alpha": -0.13587848565852653,
    "alpha_ses_correlation": null,
    "raw_ses_correlation": null,
    "tier_distribution": {
      "exceptional": 1,
      "outperforming_expectations": 1,
      "above_expected": 2,
      "performing_as_expected": 6,
      "below_expected": 2,
      "lower_performance": 1,
      "high_school_only": 0
    },
    "story_distribution": {
      "strong_both": 3,
      "outperforming": 1,
      "high_scores_context_matters": 1,
      "lower_both": 3,
      "typical": 5,
      "high_school_outcome": 0
    }
  },
  "scatter_points": [
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530180000289",
      "school_name": "Coupeville Elementary School",
      "url_slug": "530180-coupeville-elementary-school",
      "ses_index": 70.20986969211985,
      "achievement_pct_metro": 84.61538461538461,
      "decoded_pct_metro": 38.46153846153847,
      "alpha_shrunk": -0.2120233788563937,
      "enrollment": 492,
      "achievement_rank_metro": 3,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 9,
      "composite_rank_metro": 13,
      "composite_pct_metro": 7.6923076923076925,
      "rank_shift": -10,
      "story_type": "high_scores_context_matters"
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530594000898",
      "school_name": "Broad View Elementary",
      "url_slug": "530594-broad-view-elementary",
      "ses_index": 51.30625471151674,
      "achievement_pct_metro": 15.384615384615385,
      "decoded_pct_metro": 30.76923076923077,
      "alpha_shrunk": -0.23632291538443553,
      "enrollment": 369,
      "achievement_rank_metro": 12,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 10,
      "composite_rank_metro": 10,
      "composite_pct_metro": 30.76923076923077,
      "rank_shift": 2,
      "story_type": "lower_both"
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530594000900",
      "school_name": "Crescent Harbor Elem",
      "url_slug": "530594-crescent-harbor-elem",
      "ses_index": 50.117388024790884,
      "achievement_pct_metro": 76.92307692307693,
      "decoded_pct_metro": 84.61538461538461,
      "alpha_shrunk": 0.3067968044889234,
      "enrollment": 419,
      "achievement_rank_metro": 4,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 3,
      "composite_rank_metro": 3,
      "composite_pct_metro": 84.61538461538461,
      "rank_shift": 1,
      "story_type": "strong_both"
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530594002264",
      "school_name": "Hillcrest Elementary",
      "url_slug": "530594-hillcrest-elementary",
      "ses_index": 67.1160362966356,
      "achievement_pct_metro": 100.0,
      "decoded_pct_metro": 92.3076923076923,
      "alpha_shrunk": 0.6754324478194147,
      "enrollment": 460,
      "achievement_rank_metro": 1,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 2,
      "composite_rank_metro": 1,
      "composite_pct_metro": 100.0,
      "rank_shift": 0,
      "story_type": "strong_both"
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530594000902",
      "school_name": "Oak Harbor Elementary",
      "url_slug": "530594-oak-harbor-elementary",
      "ses_index": 38.76394764975691,
      "achievement_pct_metro": 92.3076923076923,
      "decoded_pct_metro": 100.0,
      "alpha_shrunk": 0.6898825151303914,
      "enrollment": 411,
      "achievement_rank_metro": 2,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 1,
      "composite_rank_metro": 4,
      "composite_pct_metro": 76.92307692307693,
      "rank_shift": -2,
      "story_type": "strong_both"
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530594000905",
      "school_name": "Olympic View Elem",
      "url_slug": "530594-olympic-view-elem",
      "ses_index": 45.91544052267403,
      "achievement_pct_metro": 46.15384615384615,
      "decoded_pct_metro": 61.53846153846154,
      "alpha_shrunk": 0.14092872623868968,
      "enrollment": 411,
      "achievement_rank_metro": 8,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 6,
      "composite_rank_metro": 2,
      "composite_pct_metro": 92.3076923076923,
      "rank_shift": 6,
      "story_type": "outperforming"
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530819002240",
      "school_name": "South Whidbey Elementary",
      "url_slug": "530819-south-whidbey-elementary",
      "ses_index": 62.74734168498071,
      "achievement_pct_metro": 23.076923076923077,
      "decoded_pct_metro": 15.384615384615385,
      "alpha_shrunk": -0.47493204823466745,
      "enrollment": 485,
      "achievement_rank_metro": 11,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 12,
      "composite_rank_metro": 11,
      "composite_pct_metro": 23.076923076923077,
      "rank_shift": 0,
      "story_type": "lower_both"
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530834002825",
      "school_name": "Elger Bay Elementary",
      "url_slug": "530834-elger-bay-elementary",
      "ses_index": 67.39894598650028,
      "achievement_pct_metro": 7.6923076923076925,
      "decoded_pct_metro": 7.6923076923076925,
      "alpha_shrunk": -0.7158410848731501,
      "enrollment": 376,
      "achievement_rank_metro": 13,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 13,
      "composite_rank_metro": 12,
      "composite_pct_metro": 15.384615384615385,
      "rank_shift": 1,
      "story_type": "lower_both"
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530834002824",
      "school_name": "Utsalady Elementary",
      "url_slug": "530834-utsalady-elementary",
      "ses_index": 74.55619983182527,
      "achievement_pct_metro": 30.76923076923077,
      "decoded_pct_metro": 23.076923076923077,
      "alpha_shrunk": -0.4240170991607097,
      "enrollment": 391,
      "achievement_rank_metro": 10,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 11,
      "composite_rank_metro": 9,
      "composite_pct_metro": 38.46153846153847,
      "rank_shift": 1,
      "story_type": "lower_both"
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530594000904",
      "school_name": "Oak Harbor Intermediate School",
      "url_slug": "530594-oak-harbor-intermediate-school",
      "ses_index": 52.53402778518313,
      "achievement_pct_metro": 69.23076923076923,
      "decoded_pct_metro": 69.23076923076923,
      "alpha_shrunk": 0.22984793406985332,
      "enrollment": 767,
      "achievement_rank_metro": 5,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 5,
      "composite_rank_metro": 8,
      "composite_pct_metro": 46.15384615384615,
      "rank_shift": -3,
      "story_type": "typical"
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530180002049",
      "school_name": "Coupeville Middle School",
      "url_slug": "530180-coupeville-middle-school",
      "ses_index": 72.61249458627735,
      "achievement_pct_metro": 61.53846153846154,
      "decoded_pct_metro": 53.84615384615385,
      "alpha_shrunk": -0.13587848565852653,
      "enrollment": 158,
      "achievement_rank_metro": 6,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 7,
      "composite_rank_metro": 7,
      "composite_pct_metro": 53.84615384615385,
      "rank_shift": -1,
      "story_type": "typical"
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530819001358",
      "school_name": "South Whidbey Middle",
      "url_slug": "530819-south-whidbey-middle",
      "ses_index": 64.25559740047605,
      "achievement_pct_metro": 53.84615384615385,
      "decoded_pct_metro": 46.15384615384615,
      "alpha_shrunk": -0.17516738527928938,
      "enrollment": 290,
      "achievement_rank_metro": 7,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 8,
      "composite_rank_metro": 6,
      "composite_pct_metro": 61.53846153846154,
      "rank_shift": 1,
      "story_type": "typical"
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530594000901",
      "school_name": "North Whidbey Middle School",
      "url_slug": "530594-north-whidbey-middle-school",
      "ses_index": 42.325547988452925,
      "achievement_pct_metro": 38.46153846153847,
      "decoded_pct_metro": 76.92307692307693,
      "alpha_shrunk": 0.263155702879828,
      "enrollment": 705,
      "achievement_rank_metro": 9,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 4,
      "composite_rank_metro": 5,
      "composite_pct_metro": 69.23076923076923,
      "rank_shift": 4,
      "story_type": "typical"
    }
  ],
  "divergence": {
    "outperforming": [
      {
        "nces_school_id": "530594000905",
        "school_name": "Olympic View Elem",
        "url_slug": "530594-olympic-view-elem",
        "achievement_rank_metro": 8,
        "decoded_rank_metro": 6,
        "composite_rank_metro": 2,
        "composite_pct_metro": 92.3076923076923,
        "rank_shift": 6
      }
    ],
    "high_scores_context_matters": [
      {
        "nces_school_id": "530180000289",
        "school_name": "Coupeville Elementary School",
        "url_slug": "530180-coupeville-elementary-school",
        "achievement_rank_metro": 3,
        "decoded_rank_metro": 9,
        "composite_rank_metro": 13,
        "composite_pct_metro": 7.6923076923076925,
        "rank_shift": -10
      }
    ],
    "strong_both": [
      {
        "nces_school_id": "530594002264",
        "school_name": "Hillcrest Elementary",
        "url_slug": "530594-hillcrest-elementary",
        "achievement_rank_metro": 1,
        "decoded_rank_metro": 2,
        "composite_rank_metro": 1,
        "composite_pct_metro": 100.0,
        "rank_shift": 0
      },
      {
        "nces_school_id": "530594000900",
        "school_name": "Crescent Harbor Elem",
        "url_slug": "530594-crescent-harbor-elem",
        "achievement_rank_metro": 4,
        "decoded_rank_metro": 3,
        "composite_rank_metro": 3,
        "composite_pct_metro": 84.61538461538461,
        "rank_shift": 1
      },
      {
        "nces_school_id": "530594000902",
        "school_name": "Oak Harbor Elementary",
        "url_slug": "530594-oak-harbor-elementary",
        "achievement_rank_metro": 2,
        "decoded_rank_metro": 1,
        "composite_rank_metro": 4,
        "composite_pct_metro": 76.92307692307693,
        "rank_shift": -2
      }
    ]
  },
  "notable_schools": [
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530594002264",
      "school_name": "Hillcrest Elementary",
      "url_slug": "530594-hillcrest-elementary",
      "callout": "highest_decoded",
      "achievement_rank_metro": 1,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 2,
      "composite_rank_metro": 1,
      "composite_pct_metro": 100.0,
      "rank_shift": 0,
      "confidence_level": "high",
      "decoder_sentence": "Raw scores are high here, and the school remains strong for its context; students tend to gain ground relative to peers over time."
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530594000905",
      "school_name": "Olympic View Elem",
      "url_slug": "530594-olympic-view-elem",
      "callout": "biggest_positive_shift",
      "achievement_rank_metro": 8,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 6,
      "composite_rank_metro": 2,
      "composite_pct_metro": 92.3076923076923,
      "rank_shift": 6,
      "confidence_level": "high",
      "decoder_sentence": "Scores look modest, yet students tend to gain ground relative to peers the longer they are enrolled."
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530180000289",
      "school_name": "Coupeville Elementary School",
      "url_slug": "530180-coupeville-elementary-school",
      "callout": "biggest_negative_shift",
      "achievement_rank_metro": 3,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 9,
      "composite_rank_metro": 13,
      "composite_pct_metro": 7.6923076923076925,
      "rank_shift": -10,
      "confidence_level": "high",
      "decoder_sentence": "Scores are high, but students tend to lose ground relative to peers while enrolled."
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "530594002264",
      "school_name": "Hillcrest Elementary",
      "url_slug": "530594-hillcrest-elementary",
      "callout": "highest_achievement",
      "achievement_rank_metro": 1,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 2,
      "composite_rank_metro": 1,
      "composite_pct_metro": 100.0,
      "rank_shift": 0,
      "confidence_level": "high",
      "decoder_sentence": "Raw scores are high here, and the school remains strong for its context; students tend to gain ground relative to peers over time."
    }
  ],
  "disclosures": {
    "data_year": 2025,
    "ccd_year": 2024,
    "acs_vintage": "2020-2024",
    "source_files": [
      {
        "label": "NCES CCD 2024 directory (Urban Institute)",
        "url": "https://educationdata.urban.org/api/v1/schools/ccd/directory/2024/",
        "accessed": "2026-08-04"
      },
      {
        "label": "ACS 5-year 2020-2024",
        "url": "https://api.census.gov/data/2024/acs/acs5",
        "accessed": "2026-08-04"
      },
      {
        "label": "Washington OSPI 2024-25 school-level results",
        "url": "https://washingtonstatereportcard.ospi.k12.wa.us/ReportCard/DownloadFiles",
        "accessed": "2026-08-04"
      }
    ],
    "last_updated": "2026-08-04",
    "methodology_version": "0.10.0"
  }
}