{
  "report_slug": "roseburg-2025",
  "title": "2025 Roseburg Schools Report",
  "year": 2025,
  "published_at": "2026-07-26",
  "metro": {
    "cbsa_code": "40700",
    "cbsa_name": "Roseburg, OR",
    "url_slug": "40700-roseburg",
    "states": [
      "OR"
    ],
    "omb_states": [
      "OR"
    ],
    "covered_states": [
      "OR"
    ],
    "missing_states": [],
    "coverage_status": "complete",
    "rank_scope": "full_metro",
    "coverage_label": "Full metro coverage",
    "comparability_note": null,
    "crosses_state_lines": false
  },
  "summary": {
    "n_schools_ranked": 4,
    "median_alpha": 0.239802257144127,
    "alpha_ses_correlation": null,
    "raw_ses_correlation": null,
    "tier_distribution": {
      "exceptional": 1,
      "outperforming_expectations": 0,
      "above_expected": 1,
      "performing_as_expected": 1,
      "below_expected": 1,
      "lower_performance": 0,
      "high_school_only": 0
    },
    "story_distribution": {
      "strong_both": 1,
      "outperforming": 1,
      "high_scores_context_matters": 1,
      "lower_both": 1,
      "typical": 0,
      "high_school_outcome": 0
    }
  },
  "scatter_points": [
    {
      "nces_school_id": "411071000288",
      "school_name": "Eastwood Elementary School",
      "url_slug": "411071-eastwood-elementary-school",
      "ses_index": 32.12997960071306,
      "achievement_pct_metro": 25.0,
      "decoded_pct_metro": 25.0,
      "alpha_shrunk": -0.4745829938196411,
      "enrollment": 393,
      "achievement_rank_metro": 4,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 4,
      "composite_rank_metro": 4,
      "composite_pct_metro": 25.0,
      "rank_shift": 0,
      "story_type": "lower_both"
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "411071000292",
      "school_name": "Hucrest Elementary School",
      "url_slug": "411071-hucrest-elementary-school",
      "ses_index": 41.98301897194945,
      "achievement_pct_metro": 100.0,
      "decoded_pct_metro": 100.0,
      "alpha_shrunk": 0.39975324306311427,
      "enrollment": 394,
      "achievement_rank_metro": 1,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 1,
      "composite_rank_metro": 2,
      "composite_pct_metro": 75.0,
      "rank_shift": -1,
      "story_type": "strong_both"
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "411071000298",
      "school_name": "John C Fremont Middle School",
      "url_slug": "411071-john-c-fremont-middle-school",
      "ses_index": 19.046670260535038,
      "achievement_pct_metro": 50.0,
      "decoded_pct_metro": 75.0,
      "alpha_shrunk": 0.2526354256180908,
      "enrollment": 653,
      "achievement_rank_metro": 3,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 2,
      "composite_rank_metro": 1,
      "composite_pct_metro": 100.0,
      "rank_shift": 2,
      "story_type": "outperforming"
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "411071000299",
      "school_name": "Joseph Lane Middle School",
      "url_slug": "411071-joseph-lane-middle-school",
      "ses_index": 12.513788406915744,
      "achievement_pct_metro": 75.0,
      "decoded_pct_metro": 50.0,
      "alpha_shrunk": 0.2269690886701632,
      "enrollment": 581,
      "achievement_rank_metro": 2,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 3,
      "composite_rank_metro": 3,
      "composite_pct_metro": 50.0,
      "rank_shift": -1,
      "story_type": "high_scores_context_matters"
    }
  ],
  "divergence": {
    "outperforming": [
      {
        "nces_school_id": "411071000298",
        "school_name": "John C Fremont Middle School",
        "url_slug": "411071-john-c-fremont-middle-school",
        "achievement_rank_metro": 3,
        "decoded_rank_metro": 2,
        "composite_rank_metro": 1,
        "composite_pct_metro": 100.0,
        "rank_shift": 2
      }
    ],
    "high_scores_context_matters": [
      {
        "nces_school_id": "411071000299",
        "school_name": "Joseph Lane Middle School",
        "url_slug": "411071-joseph-lane-middle-school",
        "achievement_rank_metro": 2,
        "decoded_rank_metro": 3,
        "composite_rank_metro": 3,
        "composite_pct_metro": 50.0,
        "rank_shift": -1
      }
    ],
    "strong_both": [
      {
        "nces_school_id": "411071000292",
        "school_name": "Hucrest Elementary School",
        "url_slug": "411071-hucrest-elementary-school",
        "achievement_rank_metro": 1,
        "decoded_rank_metro": 1,
        "composite_rank_metro": 2,
        "composite_pct_metro": 75.0,
        "rank_shift": -1
      }
    ]
  },
  "notable_schools": [
    {
      "nces_school_id": "411071000298",
      "school_name": "John C Fremont Middle School",
      "url_slug": "411071-john-c-fremont-middle-school",
      "callout": "highest_decoded",
      "achievement_rank_metro": 3,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 2,
      "composite_rank_metro": 1,
      "composite_pct_metro": 100.0,
      "rank_shift": 2,
      "confidence_level": "high",
      "decoder_sentence": "Raw scores are modest, but the school outperforms what its context predicts, and students tend to gain ground relative to peers while enrolled."
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "411071000298",
      "school_name": "John C Fremont Middle School",
      "url_slug": "411071-john-c-fremont-middle-school",
      "callout": "biggest_positive_shift",
      "achievement_rank_metro": 3,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 2,
      "composite_rank_metro": 1,
      "composite_pct_metro": 100.0,
      "rank_shift": 2,
      "confidence_level": "high",
      "decoder_sentence": "Raw scores are modest, but the school outperforms what its context predicts, and students tend to gain ground relative to peers while enrolled."
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "411071000292",
      "school_name": "Hucrest Elementary School",
      "url_slug": "411071-hucrest-elementary-school",
      "callout": "biggest_negative_shift",
      "achievement_rank_metro": 1,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 1,
      "composite_rank_metro": 2,
      "composite_pct_metro": 75.0,
      "rank_shift": -1,
      "confidence_level": "high",
      "decoder_sentence": "Raw scores are strong here, and the school holds up well once its context is considered."
    },
    {
      "nces_school_id": "411071000292",
      "school_name": "Hucrest Elementary School",
      "url_slug": "411071-hucrest-elementary-school",
      "callout": "highest_achievement",
      "achievement_rank_metro": 1,
      "decoded_rank_metro": 1,
      "composite_rank_metro": 2,
      "composite_pct_metro": 75.0,
      "rank_shift": -1,
      "confidence_level": "high",
      "decoder_sentence": "Raw scores are strong here, and the school holds up well once its context is considered."
    }
  ],
  "disclosures": {
    "data_year": 2025,
    "ccd_year": 2024,
    "acs_vintage": "2020-2024",
    "source_files": [
      {
        "label": "NCES CCD 2024 directory (Urban Institute)",
        "url": "https://educationdata.urban.org/api/v1/schools/ccd/directory/2024/",
        "accessed": "2026-07-26"
      },
      {
        "label": "ACS 5-year 2020-2024",
        "url": "https://api.census.gov/data/2024/acs/acs5",
        "accessed": "2026-07-26"
      },
      {
        "label": "Oregon OSAS 2024-25 school-level results",
        "url": "https://www.ode.state.or.us/data/reportcard/media/2025_Assessment_Download.xlsx",
        "accessed": "2026-07-26"
      }
    ],
    "last_updated": "2026-07-26",
    "methodology_version": "0.9.0"
  }
}