Outperforming Expectations
Raw scores are modest, but decoded performance is strong — these schools are doing more than their context predicts.
- Ontario Middle School #443 → #30 OR
Metro overview
12 schools ranked · Updated September 4, 2026 · Cross-state metro (ID + OR)
These are the schools where raw test performance and decoded performance disagree most. The shift column shows the gap between Achievement Rank and Decoded Rank.
Raw scores are modest, but decoded performance is strong — these schools are doing more than their context predicts.
High raw scores AND high decoded performance — doing more with their context than peer schools at the same level.
Raw scores are high, but the school's advantaged context predicts even higher — raw scores may overstate the school's effect.
9 official · 1 provisional (Est. #, low confidence)
| Rating | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four Rivers Community SchoolCharter | Oregon Department of Education | #293 | #9 (OR)plausibly #5–30#1 (Ontario metro)Also HS #8 | ★★Outperforming Expectations | High | ||
| Ontario Middle SchoolNeighborhood | Ontario SD 8C | #443 | #30 (OR)plausibly #10–210#2 (Ontario metro)≈ tied with next | ★★Outperforming Expectations | High | ||
| Adrian Elementary SchoolNeighborhood | Adrian SD 61 | #30 | #34 (OR)plausibly #5–172#3 (Ontario metro)≈ tied with next | ★Strong by Both Measures | High | ||
| Nyssa Middle SchoolNeighborhood | Nyssa SD 26 | #418 | #45 (OR)plausibly #20–141#4 (Ontario metro) | ★★Outperforming Expectations | High | ||
| Alameda Intermediate SchoolNeighborhood | Ontario SD 8C | #490 | #66 (OR)plausibly #26–178#5 (Ontario metro)≈ tied with next | ★★Outperforming Expectations | High | ||
| Vale Middle SchoolNeighborhood | Vale SD 84 | #178 | #71 (OR)plausibly #36–256#6 (Ontario metro) | Typical Profile | High | ||
| Vale Elementary SchoolNeighborhood | Vale SD 84 | #298 | #162 (OR)plausibly #76–388#7 (Ontario metro) | ★★Outperforming Expectations | High | ||
| Nyssa Elementary SchoolNeighborhood | Nyssa SD 26 | #412 | #237 (OR)plausibly #109–373#8 (Ontario metro) | Typical Profile | High | ||
| Harper Charter SchoolCharter | Harper SD 66 | — | #226 | Est. #344 (OR)#9 (Ontario metro)provisional · low confidence | Typical Profile | Low | |
| Aiken Elementary SchoolNeighborhood | Ontario SD 8C | #521 | #438 (OR)plausibly #135–597#9 (Ontario metro) | Typical Profile | High |
Rows marked ≈ are statistically tied with the row below them: on the current data the joint simulation gives the upper school less than a 65% chance of ranking above the lower one. Ties are between adjacent rows only.
4 official · 1 unranked (N/A — not yet eligible)
| Rating | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyssa High SchoolNeighborhood | Nyssa SD 26 | #12 | #6 (OR)HS#1 (Ontario metro) | HS outcome | Medium | ||
| Four Rivers Community SchoolCharter | Oregon Department of Education | #6 | #8 (OR)HS#2 (Ontario metro) | HS outcome | Low | ||
| Vale High SchoolNeighborhood | Vale SD 84 | #13 | #24 (OR)HS#3 (Ontario metro) | HS outcome | Medium | ||
| Ontario High SchoolNeighborhood | Ontario SD 8C | #92 | #92 (OR)HS#4 (Ontario metro) | HS outcome | High | ||
| Unranked (1 not yet eligible for a rank) | |||||||
| Adrian High School | Adrian SD 61 | — | N/A | N/A | — | Not enough data to rank | |
Cross-state metro note: The Ontario, OR-ID metro spans ID and OR. Schools are ranked separately on each state's side — the states administer their tests independently, and no cross-state comparison is made. (Both states use Smarter Balanced for grades 3–8 ELA/math, but administrations and populations differ.)
SchoolDecoder publishes context-adjusted residuals, not causal estimates. Decoded Rank is one signal — not a verdict on teaching quality. Read about limitations →