North Lake Middle School

Lake Stevens, WA · Grades 6–7

Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA

Neighborhood

Decoded Rank

All factors combined

Top 30% decoded

#193 of 680

Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA schools

★ Above Expected

#472 in WA

Achievement Rank

Raw test performance

Middle 40% achievement

#283 of 680

Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA schools

#413 in WA

places from achievement to Decoded Rank

This school performs roughly as expected for its context.

Data confidence:High1686 students tested 8 years98% participation

Confidence is computed from sample size, year coverage, and participation rate. Higher confidence means the rank shift is stable across years and not driven by a single small cohort.

  • Tested students: total students with valid scores across all reported years.
  • Years of data: number of school years included. More years smooths year-to-year noise.
  • Participation: share of enrolled students who took the assessment. Low participation can bias scores.

What's driving this rank

Decoded Rank: #193 of 680

in Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA schools

Raw test scores rank this school #283, but after accounting for context, students here outperform what the data would predict. The Decoded Rank places it at #193.

Each component below is scored on a 0–100 within-metro scale. A qualitative band summarizes where the school lands.

  • About averagePerforms above what its context predictsCounts for 35% of the rank

    After accounting for income and demographics, does this school beat what the data would predict?

  • StrongStudents gain ground year over yearCounts for 30% of the rank

    Are kids at this school learning faster than typical for the metro?

  • Below averageEquity within the schoolCounts for 15% of the rank

    Are students clustered at similar levels, or split between top and bottom?

  • About averageDirection over recent yearsCounts for 10% of the rank

    Is this school's Decoded Rank trending up or down across the years we have data for?

  • StrongMost students were testedCounts for 10% of the rank

    Was the rank computed against a representative share of the school's students?

Show the numbersFor the methodology-curious

Each component is converted to a 0–100 within-metro percentile (100 = top of the metro). "Contribution" is the percentile-points the component adds to (or subtracts from) the metro median before the schools are re-ranked into the composite.

Per-component contributions to this school's Decoded Rank composite. Weight is the share each component carries; percentile is the school's within-metro score on that component.
ComponentWeightPercentileContribution
Performs above what its context predicts 35%50+0.2
Students gain ground year over year 30%90+11.9
Equity within the school 15%37-1.9
Direction over recent years 10%50+0.0
Most students were tested 10%98+4.8

How the Decoded Rank composite is computed

Why trust this?
  • Public data sources
  • Context-adjusted model
  • Confidence shown
  • Methodology published

This score uses state assessment data, NCES enrollment data, and Census ACS 5-year neighborhood data. The Decoded Rank adjusts for school context — student demographics, ELL/SPED service rates, and the socioeconomic profile of the surrounding tract — and shows how the school performs relative to expectation, not in absolute terms.

SchoolDecoder is one signal, not a verdict. Decoded Rank is a context-adjusted residual, not a causal claim about teaching quality. See full methodology →

All Rankings

How this school ranks across the metro, state, and among demographic peers.

ScopeAchievementDecodedShift
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA (680 schools)#283#193
WA (1506 schools)#413#472
Among similar schools (6 peers)#4#1

Resource context

School inputs, not ranking points

These fields describe the school and surrounding neighborhood. They help readers interpret the page, but this is not a dollar-by-dollar or ratio-by-ratio scorecard and the fields here are not components of the Decoded Rank.

Enrollment
856
Free/reduced-price lunch
32.2%
Student-teacher ratio
20.9:1
Locale
Suburb, midsize
School type
Regular public school
Enrollment model
Neighborhood attendance area
Neighborhood median income
$114,959ACS tract proxy
Neighborhood poverty
0.0%ACS tract proxy
SES index
79.8
Assessment data year
2025
CCD year
2024
ACS vintage
2020-2024

Within Lake Stevens School District: #4 of 10.Top-40% in district. View district

Performance Spread

How students are distributed across the four state-assessment proficiency levels — L1: below standard, L2: approaching, L3: meets (proficient), L4: exceeds. This describes the shape of results at the school, not their height.

Two distinct groups are visible: a strong cluster at the top and a struggling cluster at the bottom.

  • Level 1 — Below standard19%
  • Level 2 — Approaching standard23%
  • Level 3 — Meets standard (proficient)30%
  • Level 4 — Exceeds standard28%

Why this matters. A bimodal distribution often reflects two student populations served side-by-side (for example a gifted or honors track alongside a general-population cohort). Aggregate scores can hide this. Look at the school's program mix when comparing.

Performance Spread measures how evenly students are distributed across the L1..L4 proficiency ladder, treating the levels as an ordered scale (L1=1, L2=2, L3=3, L4=4) and weighting each by its student share. A school where most students cluster at one level has a TIGHT spread; a school split between the bottom and top has a WIDE or BIMODAL spread. Bimodal fires only when BOTH tails are non-trivial AND the middle is relatively hollow (pct_L1 ≥ 15, pct_L4 ≥ 25, pct_L2 + pct_L3 ≤ 60). It describes shape — NOT how high the school's scores are. Methodology

Nearby Schools

Sorted by distance. Both rank columns shown so you can compare quickly.

SchoolAchievementDecodedShiftStoryConfidence
Outcomes for Academic Resilience Rankings coming soon.
Prove High School Rankings coming soon.
LSSD Open Doors Rankings coming soon.
Mt. Pilchuck Elementary School#239#343High
Lake Stevens Sr High School Rankings coming soon.

Similar Schools

Schools with comparable demographics, income, and size. Both rank columns shown for direct comparison.

SchoolAchievementDecodedShiftStoryConfidence
Pullman High School Rankings coming soon.
Columbia Virtual Academy Rankings coming soon.
Hockinson Heights Elementary School#200#270High
La Center Elementary#201#409High
Hillcrest Elementary School#268#360High

Historical Ranks

Year-by-year decoded and achievement ranks. Pandemic-affected years are excluded — we don't interpolate scores across the gap.

YearAchievementDecodedShift
2025#283#193
2024#303#141
2023#317#134

Note: assessment transitions (where a state changes its test) are footnoted on the methodology page; trends are not computed across breakpoints.

Trajectory

2023: percentile 562024: percentile 562025: percentile 50

Holding steady

Based on 3 years (2023–2025).

Slope: -2.6 pct/yr (95% CI -26.6 to 21.3)

Low confidence

How this works: we fit a linear trend across the available years of Decoded percentile, then bucket the slope into a direction. Wide confidence intervals (uncertain trends) collapse to Holding steady. See the methodology page for thresholds.

Cohort Progression

Kids who started 6th grade here in 2015 gained 16 proficiency points by 7th grade.

Based on 12 cohorts across math + ELA.

Learning rate: +8.2 proficiency points/yr (95% CI 3.5 to 12.8)

Cohort 20152016201720182019202320242025 Slope
ELA · started 7th in 2015
G7
279
ELA · started 6th in 2015
G6
281
G7
297
+15.7
ELA · started 6th in 2016
G6
286
G7
300
+14.5
ELA · started 6th in 2017
G6
275
G7
293
+17.8
ELA · started 6th in 2018
G6
282
G7
293
+10.5
ELA · started 6th in 2019
G6
273
ELA · started 7th in 2023
G7
277
ELA · started 6th in 2023
G6
255
G7
274
+18.4
ELA · started 6th in 2024
G6
258
G7
277
+18.9
ELA · started 6th in 2025
G6
258
Math · started 7th in 2015
G7
272
Math · started 6th in 2015
G6
270
G7
284
+14.5
Math · started 6th in 2016
G6
279
G7
279
-0.6
Math · started 6th in 2017
G6
261
G7
262
+1.5
Math · started 6th in 2018
G6
280
G7
260
-19.8
Math · started 6th in 2019
G6
257
Math · started 7th in 2023
G7
242
Math · started 6th in 2023
G6
248
G7
253
+4.9
Math · started 6th in 2024
G6
260
G7
260
-0.6
Math · started 6th in 2025
G6
265

How this works: we follow each grade-cohort across years through the school (3rd graders in 2023 are 4th graders in 2024, etc.) and fit a linear slope on a 100–400 proficiency-points scale built from the state assessment's four levels (L1=1, L2=2, L3=3, L4=4, weighted by student share). This is the same construction Stanford SEDA uses (edopportunity.org/methods); it's not student-level tracking — we measure the school's cohort, not individuals. See the methodology page for thresholds.

Evidence & technical detailClick to expand

School Alpha

School Alpha is the residual between actual and expected performance once school context is held constant. It is a context-adjusted estimate, not a causal claim about teaching quality.

Shrunk Alpha (95% CI)
-0.01 (95% CI: -0.02 to +0.01)

SES index components

SES method
Blended SES index (ACS + FRL)
SES index value
79.8
FRL %
32.2%
ELL %
SPED %
Tract median income (ACS 5-year)
$114,959
Tract poverty rate
0.0%
Tract % bachelor's+
42.3%

What "Decoded Rank" means

Decoded Rank converts School Alpha — the context-adjusted residual — into a parent-facing rank within the metro pool. A higher Decoded Rank than Achievement Rank means the school's raw scores understate its performance once neighborhood and school context are held constant. The reverse means raw scores overstate it. The rank is one signal, not a verdict.

Data & sources

Assessment data
2024–25 school year
NCES CCD vintage
2024
Census ACS 5-year vintage
2020-2024
Last updated
May 29, 2026
Methodology version
0.2.0

SchoolDecoder publishes context-adjusted residuals, not causal estimates. Decoded Rank is one signal — not a verdict on teaching quality. Read about limitations →