Hayesville Elementary School

Salem, OR · Grades K–5

Salem, OR

Neighborhood

Decoded Rank

All factors combined

Middle 40% decoded

#60 of 102

Salem, OR schools

Performing as Expected

#507 in OR

Achievement Rank

Raw test performance

Bottom 30% achievement

#84 of 102

Salem, OR schools

#833 in OR

places from achievement to Decoded Rank

Decoded performance is roughly in line with expectations for this school's context.

Data confidence:High446 students tested 8 years99% participation

Confidence is computed from sample size, year coverage, and participation rate. Higher confidence means the rank shift is stable across years and not driven by a single small cohort.

  • Tested students: total students with valid scores across all reported years.
  • Years of data: number of school years included. More years smooths year-to-year noise.
  • Participation: share of enrolled students who took the assessment. Low participation can bias scores.

What's driving this rank

Decoded Rank: #60 of 102

in Salem, OR schools

Each component below is scored on a 0–100 within-metro scale. A qualitative band summarizes where the school lands.

  • Below averagePerforms above what its context predictsCounts for 35% of the rank

    After accounting for income and demographics, does this school beat what the data would predict?

  • About averageStudents gain ground year over yearCounts for 30% of the rank

    Are kids at this school learning faster than typical for the metro?

  • Above averageEquity within the schoolCounts for 15% of the rank

    Are students clustered at similar levels, or split between top and bottom?

  • About averageDirection over recent yearsCounts for 10% of the rank

    Is this school's Decoded Rank trending up or down across the years we have data for?

  • StrongMost students were testedCounts for 10% of the rank

    Was the rank computed against a representative share of the school's students?

Show the numbersFor the methodology-curious

Each component is converted to a 0–100 within-metro percentile (100 = top of the metro). "Contribution" is the percentile-points the component adds to (or subtracts from) the metro median before the schools are re-ranked into the composite.

Per-component contributions to this school's Decoded Rank composite. Weight is the share each component carries; percentile is the school's within-metro score on that component.
ComponentWeightPercentileContribution
Performs above what its context predicts 35%30-6.9
Students gain ground year over year 30%52+0.5
Equity within the school 15%73+3.4
Direction over recent years 10%50+0.0
Most students were tested 10%99+4.9

How the Decoded Rank composite is computed

Why trust this?
  • Public data sources
  • Context-adjusted model
  • Confidence shown
  • Methodology published

This score uses state assessment data, NCES enrollment data, and Census ACS 5-year neighborhood data. The Decoded Rank adjusts for school context — student demographics, ELL/SPED service rates, and the socioeconomic profile of the surrounding tract — and shows how the school performs relative to expectation, not in absolute terms.

SchoolDecoder is one signal, not a verdict. Decoded Rank is a context-adjusted residual, not a causal claim about teaching quality. See full methodology →

All Rankings

How this school ranks across the metro, state, and among demographic peers.

ScopeAchievementDecodedShift
Salem, OR (102 schools)#84#60
OR (882 schools)#833#507
Among similar schools (6 peers)#4#3

Resource context

School inputs, not ranking points

These fields describe the school and surrounding neighborhood. They help readers interpret the page, but this is not a dollar-by-dollar or ratio-by-ratio scorecard and the fields here are not components of the Decoded Rank.

Enrollment
442
Free/reduced-price lunch
88.9%
Student-teacher ratio
19.2:1
Locale
Suburb, large
School type
Regular public school
Enrollment model
Neighborhood attendance area
Neighborhood median income
$71,854ACS tract proxy
Neighborhood poverty
0.1%ACS tract proxy
SES index
31.9
Assessment data year
2025
CCD year
2024
ACS vintage
2020-2024

Within Salem-Keizer SD 24J: #33 of 57.Middle quintile in district. View district

Performance Spread

How students are distributed across the four state-assessment proficiency levels — L1: below standard, L2: approaching, L3: meets (proficient), L4: exceeds. This describes the shape of results at the school, not their height.

Students at this school cluster closely on the proficiency ladder.

  • Level 1 — Below standard63%
  • Level 2 — Approaching standard20%
  • Level 3 — Meets standard (proficient)12%
  • Level 4 — Exceeds standard6%

Performance Spread measures how evenly students are distributed across the L1..L4 proficiency ladder, treating the levels as an ordered scale (L1=1, L2=2, L3=3, L4=4) and weighting each by its student share. A school where most students cluster at one level has a TIGHT spread; a school split between the bottom and top has a WIDE or BIMODAL spread. Bimodal fires only when BOTH tails are non-trivial AND the middle is relatively hollow (pct_L1 ≥ 15, pct_L4 ≥ 25, pct_L2 + pct_L3 ≤ 60). It describes shape — NOT how high the school's scores are. Methodology

Nearby Schools

Sorted by distance. Both rank columns shown so you can compare quickly.

SchoolAchievementDecodedShiftStoryConfidence
Yoshikai Elementary School#58#93High
Lamb Elementary School#89#72High
Stephens Middle School#83#85High
Early College High School Rankings coming soon.
Hammond Elementary School#64#69High

Similar Schools

Schools with comparable demographics, income, and size. Both rank columns shown for direct comparison.

SchoolAchievementDecodedShiftStoryConfidence
Grant Community School#57#29High
Sumpter Elementary School#29#46High
Battle Creek Elementary School#56#94High
Brookings-Harbor High School Rankings coming soon.
Lamb Elementary School#89#72High

Historical Ranks

Year-by-year decoded and achievement ranks. Pandemic-affected years are excluded — we don't interpolate scores across the gap.

YearAchievementDecodedShift
2025#84#60
2024#87#80
2023#87#63

Note: assessment transitions (where a state changes its test) are footnoted on the methodology page; trends are not computed across breakpoints.

Trajectory

2023: percentile 322024: percentile 222025: percentile 30

Holding steady

Based on 3 years (2023–2025).

Slope: -0.8 pct/yr (95% CI -71.4 to 69.8)

Low confidence

How this works: we fit a linear trend across the available years of Decoded percentile, then bucket the slope into a direction. Wide confidence intervals (uncertain trends) collapse to Holding steady. See the methodology page for thresholds.

Cohort Progression

Kids who started 3rd grade here in 2015 gained 10 proficiency points by 5th grade — gaining about 2× the metro median rate.

Based on 16 cohorts across math + ELA.

Learning rate: +3.3 proficiency points/yr (95% CI -1.7 to 8.3)

Cohort 20152016201720182019202320242025 Slope
ELA · started 5th in 2015
G5
239
ELA · started 4th in 2015
G4
205
G5
215
+10.8
ELA · started 3rd in 2015
G3
189
G4
179
G5
200
+5.2
ELA · started 3rd in 2016
G3
204
G4
191
G5
191
-6.8
ELA · started 3rd in 2017
G3
167
G4
204
G5
218
+25.5
ELA · started 3rd in 2018
G3
171
G4
189
+17.7
ELA · started 3rd in 2019
G3
175
ELA · started 5th in 2023
G5
ELA · started 4th in 2023
G4
169
G5
179
+9.4
ELA · started 3rd in 2023
G3
156
G4
151
G5
159
+1.3
ELA · started 3rd in 2024
G3
158
G4
177
+18.7
ELA · started 3rd in 2025
G3
159
Math · started 5th in 2015
G5
220
Math · started 4th in 2015
G4
190
G5
170
-19.6
Math · started 3rd in 2015
G3
169
G4
163
G5
182
+6.8
Math · started 3rd in 2016
G3
179
G4
175
G5
167
-6.0
Math · started 3rd in 2017
G3
193
G4
181
G5
178
-7.4
Math · started 3rd in 2018
G3
188
G4
189
+0.2
Math · started 3rd in 2019
G3
163
Math · started 5th in 2023
G5
Math · started 4th in 2023
G4
167
G5
152
-15.5
Math · started 3rd in 2023
G3
140
G4
152
G5
140
+0.2
Math · started 3rd in 2024
G3
152
G4
160
+8.6
Math · started 3rd in 2025
G3
160

How this works: we follow each grade-cohort across years through the school (3rd graders in 2023 are 4th graders in 2024, etc.) and fit a linear slope on a 100–400 proficiency-points scale built from the state assessment's four levels (L1=1, L2=2, L3=3, L4=4, weighted by student share). This is the same construction Stanford SEDA uses (edopportunity.org/methods); it's not student-level tracking — we measure the school's cohort, not individuals. See the methodology page for thresholds.

Evidence & technical detailClick to expand

School Alpha

School Alpha is the residual between actual and expected performance once school context is held constant. It is a context-adjusted estimate, not a causal claim about teaching quality.

Shrunk Alpha (95% CI)
-0.60 (95% CI: -0.63 to -0.57)

SES index components

SES method
Blended SES index (ACS + FRL)
SES index value
31.9
FRL %
88.9%
ELL %
SPED %
Tract median income (ACS 5-year)
$71,854
Tract poverty rate
0.1%
Tract % bachelor's+
16.2%

What "Decoded Rank" means

Decoded Rank converts School Alpha — the context-adjusted residual — into a parent-facing rank within the metro pool. A higher Decoded Rank than Achievement Rank means the school's raw scores understate its performance once neighborhood and school context are held constant. The reverse means raw scores overstate it. The rank is one signal, not a verdict.

Data & sources

Assessment data
2024–25 school year
NCES CCD vintage
2024
Census ACS 5-year vintage
2020-2024
Last updated
May 29, 2026
Methodology version
0.2.0

SchoolDecoder publishes context-adjusted residuals, not causal estimates. Decoded Rank is one signal — not a verdict on teaching quality. Read about limitations →