Outperforming Expectations
Raw scores are modest, but decoded performance is strong — these schools are doing more than their context predicts.
- Fullerton IV Elementary School #403 → #158
Metro overview
Roseburg, OR — 2024 Decoded Rankings
10 schools ranked · Updated September 4, 2026
- 3 outperforming expectations
- 1 strong by both measures
- 0 high scores, context matters
- 1 typical profile
Where rankings diverge
These are the schools where raw test performance and decoded performance disagree most. The shift column shows the gap between Achievement Rank and Decoded Rank.
Strong by Both Measures
High raw scores AND high decoded performance — doing more with their context than peer schools at the same level.
- Joseph Lane Middle School #275 → #81
- John C Fremont Middle School #315 → #104
High Scores, Context Matters
Raw scores are high, but the school's advantaged context predicts even higher — raw scores may overstate the school's effect.
- Hucrest Elementary School #152 → #170
Elementary & Middle Schools
View all 16 →Elementary / Middle Schools (16 ranked)
8 official · 2 unranked (N/A — not yet eligible)
| Rating | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Lane Middle SchoolNeighborhood | Douglas County SD 4 | #275 | #81 (OR)plausibly #41–186#1 (Roseburg metro) | ★★Outperforming Expectations | High | ||
| John C Fremont Middle SchoolNeighborhood | Douglas County SD 4 | #315 | #104 (OR)plausibly #64–209#2 (Roseburg metro) | ★★Outperforming Expectations | High | ||
| Fullerton IV Elementary SchoolNeighborhood | Douglas County SD 4 | #403 | #158 (OR)plausibly #74–356#3 (Roseburg metro)≈ tied with next | ★★Outperforming Expectations | Medium | ||
| Hucrest Elementary SchoolNeighborhood | Douglas County SD 4 | #152 | #170 (OR)plausibly #62–426#4 (Roseburg metro) | Typical Profile | High | ||
| Green Elementary SchoolNeighborhood | Douglas County SD 4 | #436 | #342 (OR)plausibly #163–573#5 (Roseburg metro) | Typical Profile | High | ||
| West Sutherlin IntermediateNeighborhood | Sutherlin SD 130 | #526 | #498 (OR)plausibly #387–619#6 (Roseburg metro)≈ tied with next | Lower by Both Measures | High | ||
| Winchester ElementaryNeighborhood | Douglas County SD 4 | #495 | #543 (OR)plausibly #316–621#7 (Roseburg metro) | Lower by Both Measures | High | ||
| Reedsport Community Charter SchoolCharter | Reedsport SD 105 | #541 | #615 (OR)plausibly #427–650#8 (Roseburg metro)Also HS #8 | Lower by Both Measures | Medium | ||
| Unranked (2 not yet eligible for a rank) | |||||||
| Camas Valley School | Camas Valley SD 21J | — | N/A | N/A | — | Not enough data to rank | |
| Days Creek Charter School | Douglas County SD 15 | — | N/A | N/A | — | Not enough data to rank | |
Rows marked ≈ are statistically tied with the row below them: on the current data the joint simulation gives the upper school less than a 65% chance of ranking above the lower one. Ties are between adjacent rows only.
High Schools
View all 10 →High Schools (10 ranked)
3 official · 7 unranked (N/A — not yet eligible)
| Rating | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reedsport Community Charter SchoolCharter | Reedsport SD 105 | #31 | #8 (OR)HS#1 (Roseburg metro) | HS outcome | Medium | ||
| Sutherlin High SchoolNeighborhood | Sutherlin SD 130 | #43 | #45 (OR)HS#2 (Roseburg metro) | HS outcome | Medium | ||
| Roseburg High SchoolNeighborhood | Douglas County SD 4 | #29 | #51 (OR)HS#3 (Roseburg metro) | HS outcome | High | ||
| Unranked (7 not yet eligible for a rank) | |||||||
| Dillard Alternative High School | Winston-Dillard SD 116 | — | N/A | N/A | — | Not enough data to rank | |
| Douglas High School | Winston-Dillard SD 116 | — | N/A | N/A | — | Not enough data to rank | |
| Glide High School | Glide SD 12 | — | N/A | N/A | — | Not enough data to rank | |
| North Douglas High School | North Douglas SD 22 | — | N/A | N/A | — | Not enough data to rank | |
| Oakland High School | Oakland SD 1 | — | N/A | N/A | — | Not enough data to rank | |
| South Umpqua High School | South Umpqua SD 19 | — | N/A | N/A | — | Not enough data to rank | |
| Yoncalla High School | Yoncalla SD 32 | — | N/A | N/A | — | Not enough data to rank | |
Districts in Roseburg, OR
Districts in this metro
Data & sources
- Assessment data
- 2023–24 school year
- NCES CCD vintage
- 2023
- Census ACS 5-year vintage
- 2020-2024
- Last updated
- September 4, 2026
- Methodology version
- 0.14.0
Source files (3)
- NCES CCD 2023 directory (Urban Institute) (accessed 2026-09-04)
- ACS 5-year 2020-2024 (accessed 2026-09-04)
- Oregon OSAS 2023-24 school-level results (accessed 2026-09-04)
SchoolDecoder publishes context-adjusted residuals, not causal estimates. Decoded Rank is one signal — not a verdict on teaching quality. Read about limitations →